Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✗54% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlanta United FC travel to face Orlando City SC on Sunday 17 May in the Major League Soccer – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Philadelphia Union, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Atlanta United FC, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Orlando City SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Atlanta United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 2.2 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 54%, draw 21%, Atlanta United FC 24%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC54%fair 1.84 · @1.90

Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.95

Atlanta United FC24%fair 4.10 · @3.40

3.59Expected goals

2.18Orlando City SC xG

1.41Atlanta United FC xG

68%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

3–17%

2–27%

2–07%

1–26%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 2.2 – 1.4 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Orlando City SC to win ✗	54%	1.84	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.27	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	68%	1.46	1.40
Draw no bet	Orlando City SC (draw no bet)	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.87	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.30
First team to score	Orlando City SC to score first ✓	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Orlando City SC ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✗	35%	2.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.83	–

Orlando City SC – last 6

WWWLWL

14 May	vs Philadelphia Union	4–3	W
3 May	@ Inter Miami	4–3	W
30 Apr	@ New England Revolution	4–3	W
26 Apr	@ DC United	2–3	L
23 Apr	vs Charlotte	4–1	W
19 Apr	vs Houston Dynamo	0–1	L

3.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC – last 6

LWWLLW

10 May	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	1–2	L
3 May	vs CF Montreal	3–1	W
29 Apr	@ Charlotte	2–0	W
23 Apr	vs New England Revolution	1–2	L
19 Apr	vs Nashville SC	0–2	L
16 Apr	@ Chattanooga	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlanta United FC 24%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC: numbers & prediction