Austin 58%Draw 22%Sporting Kansas City 19%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.25
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAustin to win ✗58% · @1.56
Double chanceAustin or draw ✗81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Austin vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Major League Soccer brings Austin against Sporting Kansas City at Q2 Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26.
Current form
Austin, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to San Diego, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austin 2.1 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 58%, draw 22%, Sporting Kansas City 19%.
Lower-risk option: Austin or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 2–1 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austin58%fair 1.71 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.30
Sporting Kansas City19%fair 5.18 · @5.10
3.32Expected goals
2.07Austin xG
1.25Sporting Kansas City xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Austin 2.1 – 1.2 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin to win✗
58%
1.71
1.56
Double chance
Austin or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Austin (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Kansas City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Austin to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Austin ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austin / FT Austin✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Austin – last 6
LDWLLD
14 May
@ San Diego
0–5
L
11 May
@ Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
1–5
L
15 Apr
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WLLLLL
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers Austin have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Kansas City 19%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is Austin 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Sporting Kansas City?
Austin vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Philadelphia Union1
Columbus Crew1
Orlando City SC1
Atlanta United FC1
New York Red Bulls1
New York City FC1
Charlotte3
Toronto FC1
New England Revolution2
DC United1