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New England Revolution v Minnesota United FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Gillette Stadium
New England Revolution 45%Draw 24%Minnesota United FC 31% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.35
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultNew England Revolution to win ✓45% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.82

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: New England Revolution v Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Gillette Stadium. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

New England Revolution, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Minnesota United FC, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colorado Rapids, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.7 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 45%, draw 24%, Minnesota United FC 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New England Revolution45%fair 2.21 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Minnesota United FC31%fair 3.23 · @3.05
3.05Expected goals
1.70New England Revolution xG
1.35Minnesota United FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.7 – 1.4 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew England Revolution to win ✓45%2.212.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.65
Draw no betNew England Revolution (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapMinnesota United FC +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.12
First team to scoreNew England Revolution to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.82–

Recent results

New England Revolution – last 6

LWWLDW
14 Mayvs Nashville SC0–3L
10 Mayvs Philadelphia Union2–1W
3 Mayvs Charlotte1–0W
30 Aprvs Orlando City SC3–4L
26 Apr@ Inter Miami1–1D
23 Apr@ Atlanta United FC2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Minnesota United FC – last 6

LDWLWW
14 Mayvs Colorado Rapids0–1L
11 Mayvs Austin2–2D
3 May@ Columbus Crew3–2W
29 Apr@ San Jose Earthquakes2–4L
23 Apr@ FC Dallas1–0W
19 Aprvs Portland Timbers2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Minnesota United FC.

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

On our numbers New England Revolution have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 31%.

How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.