New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: New England Revolution v Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Gillette Stadium. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New England Revolution, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Minnesota United FC, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colorado Rapids, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.7 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 45%, draw 24%, Minnesota United FC 31%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New England Revolution45%fair 2.21 · @2.22
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Minnesota United FC31%fair 3.23 · @3.05
3.05Expected goals
1.70New England Revolution xG
1.35Minnesota United FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.7 – 1.4 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✓
45%
2.21
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Draw no bet
New England Revolution (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Minnesota United FC +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
New England Revolution to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
New England Revolution – last 6
LWWLDW
14 May
vs Nashville SC
0–3
L
10 May
vs Philadelphia Union
2–1
W
3 May
vs Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Inter Miami
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Atlanta United FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Minnesota United FC – last 6
LDWLWW
14 May
vs Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
11 May
vs Austin
2–2
D
3 May
@ Columbus Crew
3–2
W
29 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ FC Dallas
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Portland Timbers
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England Revolution and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 31%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC?
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.