Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Vegas Lights welcome Monterey Bay to Cashman Field for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 29 March (03:30 WAT). In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; Monterey Bay are 12th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sacramento Republic, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.6 xG, Monterey Bay 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 46%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Vegas Lights46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
Monterey Bay28%fair 3.52 · @3.40
2.76Expected goals
1.60Las Vegas Lights xG
1.17Monterey Bay xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.6 – 1.2 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Vegas Lights
Monterey Bay
Attack vs USL Championship average
-1%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.18
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Vegas Lights to win✓
46%
2.16
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Las Vegas Lights (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Monterey Bay +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Las Vegas Lights to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Vegas Lights / FT Las Vegas Lights✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Las Vegas Lights – last 2
LD
22 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterey Bay – last 3
DLL
22 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Vegas Lights and Monterey Bay.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monterey Bay 28%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay?
Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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