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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brooklyn v Louisville City: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Maimonides Park
0–1
FT
Brooklyn 20%Draw 21%Louisville City 59% Expected goals 1.21 – 2.11
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✓59% · @1.50
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓80% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Brooklyn vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 29 March the USL Championship brings Brooklyn against Louisville City at Maimonides Park. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Brooklyn are 12th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Louisville City, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Southern Indiana, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brooklyn 1.2 xG, Louisville City 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brooklyn 20%, draw 21%, Louisville City 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brooklyn 1–2 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brooklyn20%fair 4.98 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.95
Louisville City59%fair 1.69 · @1.50
3.33Expected goals
1.21Brooklyn xG
2.11Louisville City xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Brooklyn 1.2 – 2.1 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BrooklynLouisville City
Attack vs USL Championship average-7%+17%
Goals conceded vs average+60%-1%
Our expected goals here1.392.28

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓59%1.691.50
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓80%1.251.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.80
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapBrooklyn +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.261.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Brooklyn – last 2

LL
26 Mar@ Lexington0–3L
22 Marvs Hartford Athletic1–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Louisville City – last 3

WWW
19 Marvs Southern Indiana2–0W
7 Mar@ Lexington2–1W
22 Feb@ FC Cincinnati4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brooklyn and Louisville City.

Brooklyn vs Louisville City head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brooklyn vs Louisville City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Brooklyn vs Louisville City?

On our numbers Brooklyn have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Louisville City 59%.

How many goals will there be in Brooklyn vs Louisville City?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brooklyn vs Louisville City?

Our predicted score is Brooklyn 1–2 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Brooklyn vs Louisville City?

Brooklyn vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Maimonides Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.