FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Phoenix Rising travel to face FC Tulsa on Sunday 29 March in the USL Championship, with ONEOK Field the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tulsa are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Tulsa, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Oakland Roots, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours FC Tulsa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Phoenix Rising.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tulsa 1.5 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tulsa 51%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 24%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tulsa or draw (76%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tulsa 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tulsa51%fair 1.97 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Phoenix Rising24%fair 4.22 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.53FC Tulsa xG
1.03Phoenix Rising xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.5 – 1.0 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Tulsa
Phoenix Rising
Attack vs USL Championship average
-15%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.09
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tulsa to win✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Double chance
FC Tulsa or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
FC Tulsa (draw no bet)
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Phoenix Rising +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
FC Tulsa to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tulsa / FT FC Tulsa✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
FC Tulsa – last 4
WWDL
22 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
19 Mar
@ Little Rock Rangers
4–2
W
15 Mar
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 4
DWDL
22 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
18 Mar
vs San Ramon
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Phoenix Rising 24%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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