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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Antonio v Lexington: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Toyota Field
2–0
FT
San Antonio 38%Draw 27%Lexington 35% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.07
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Antonio to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92

San Antonio vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lexington travel to face San Antonio on Sunday 29 March in the USL Championship, with Toyota Field the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, San Antonio are 6th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

San Antonio, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over New Mexico United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lexington, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Brooklyn, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours San Antonio, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Lexington.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Antonio 1.0 xG, Lexington 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Antonio 38%, draw 27%, Lexington 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Antonio 0–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Antonio38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.00
Lexington35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.12Expected goals
1.05San Antonio xG
1.07Lexington xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Antonio 1.0 – 1.1 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

San AntonioLexington
Attack vs USL Championship average-24%+45%
Goals conceded vs average-26%-0%
Our expected goals here1.151.31

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Antonio to win ✓38%2.632.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.85
Draw no betSan Antonio (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapSan Antonio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreLexington to score first ✗44%2.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.92–

Recent results

San Antonio – last 4

WWDW
22 Marvs New Mexico United1–0W
19 Marvs New Stars6–0W
15 Mar@ FC Tulsa0–0D
8 Marvs Phoenix Rising2–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lexington – last 4

WWDL
26 Marvs Brooklyn3–0W
20 Marvs Flower City Union9–0W
15 Marvs Sacramento Republic0–0D
7 Marvs Louisville City1–2L
3.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Lexington.

San Antonio vs Lexington head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Lexington?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win San Antonio vs Lexington?

On our numbers San Antonio have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lexington 35%.

How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Lexington?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Lexington?

Our predicted score is San Antonio 0–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is San Antonio vs Lexington?

San Antonio vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.