Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the USL Championship brings Pittsburgh Riverhounds against Sporting JAX at Highmark Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Sporting JAX are 13th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Steel City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2.1 xG, Sporting JAX 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 63%, draw 23%, Sporting JAX 14%.
Lower-risk option: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–0 Sporting JAX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.55
Sporting JAX14%fair 7.01 · @4.33
2.93Expected goals
2.11Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
0.82Sporting JAX xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2.1 – 0.8 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Sporting JAX
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+74%
Our expected goals here
2.00
0.64
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 4
WLLW
26 Mar
vs Steel City
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 2
LL
26 Mar
vs Miami FC
2–4
L
8 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting JAX 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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