Tampa Bay Rowdies 61%Draw 23%Loudoun United 16%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.84
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓61% · @1.64
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Tampa Bay Rowdies v Loudoun United in the USL Championship, played at Al Lang Stadium. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (lower half) with 31. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.8 xG, Loudoun United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 61%, draw 23%, Loudoun United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw (84%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies61%fair 1.65 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
Loudoun United16%fair 6.16 · @4.50
2.66Expected goals
1.82Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.84Loudoun United xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.8 – 0.8 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Loudoun United
Attack vs USL Championship average
+12%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.84
0.88
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
61%
1.65
1.64
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Tampa Bay Rowdies -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 3
WWW
22 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Naples
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 2
WL
18 Mar
@ West Chester United
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Loudoun United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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