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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miami FC v Rhode Island: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Riccardo Silva Stadium

Miami FC

W
2–1
FT

Rhode Island

W
Miami FC 35%Draw 26%Rhode Island 39% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.54
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Miami FC vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Miami FC welcome Rhode Island to Riccardo Silva Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 29 March (00:00 WAT). In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.4 xG, Rhode Island 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 35%, draw 26%, Rhode Island 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miami FC35%fair 2.89 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Rhode Island39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
2.95Expected goals
1.41Miami FC xG
1.54Rhode Island xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Miami FC 1.4 – 1.5 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Miami FCRhode Island
Attack vs USL Championship average+3%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+20%-21%
Our expected goals here1.221.36

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✗39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.70 ▲
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapMiami FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

Miami FC – last 1

W
26 Mar@ Sporting JAX4–2W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Rhode Island – last 1

W
18 Marvs Faialense4–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Rhode Island.

Miami FC vs Rhode Island head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds3 Sporting JAX2 163%1.70X23%3.55214%4.33 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Brooklyn0 Louisville City1 120%5.50X21%3.95259%1.50 1.2–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✗
FT Tampa Bay Rowdies3 Loudoun United1 161%1.64X23%3.80216%4.50 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.48 ✗
FT FC Tulsa1 Phoenix Rising1 151%1.77X25%3.40224%4.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Oakland Roots0 Orange County SC1 153%1.91X25%3.30222%3.60 1.7–1.0xG 1XOakland Roots or draw 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sacramento Republic1 El Paso Locomotive2 153%1.80X27%3.30221%4.10 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Las Vegas Lights1 Monterey Bay0 146%2.05X25%3.20228%3.40 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✗
FT San Antonio2 Lexington0 138%2.25X27%3.00235%3.00 1.0–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

On our numbers Miami FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rhode Island 39%.

How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Miami FC vs Rhode Island?

Miami FC vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.