Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Chapecoense-sc v Vitoria in the Serie A, played at Arena Condá. In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vitoria, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cruzeiro, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 1.4 xG, Vitoria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 39%, draw 27%, Vitoria 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc39%fair 2.56 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Vitoria34%fair 2.91 · @2.92
2.60Expected goals
1.37Chapecoense-sc xG
1.23Vitoria xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.4 – 1.2 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Attack vs Serie A average
-22%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
+53%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.20
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chapecoense-sc to win✗
39%
2.56
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Chapecoense-sc (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Chapecoense-sc to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chapecoense-sc / FT Chapecoense-sc✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LWDDLW
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
26 Mar
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Gremio
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Brusque
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
LLLDWW
2 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bahia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Galícia
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bahia de Feira
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vitoria 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria?
Chapecoense-sc vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
