Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win67% · @1.36
Double chanceFlamengo or draw87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.26
Flamengo vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos travel to face Flamengo on Sunday 5 April in the Serie A, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Santos are 9th (upper half) with 47. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Santos, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Remo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Santos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.1 xG, Santos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 67%, draw 21%, Santos 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 2–0 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.65
Santos13%fair 7.95 · @8.30
2.88Expected goals
2.07Flamengo xG
0.81Santos xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.1 – 0.8 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Flamengo
Santos
Attack vs Serie A average
+54%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-7%
Our expected goals here
2.19
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Flamengo or draw
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Flamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Flamengo to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Flamengo – last 6
LDWWWW
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
23 Mar
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs remo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Botafogo
3–0
W
12 Mar
vs Cruzeiro
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Madureira
8–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santos – last 6
WLDDWL
2 Apr
vs Remo
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Internacional
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
26 Feb
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Santos.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Flamengo vs Santos?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santos 13%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Santos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Santos?
Flamengo vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
