Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗42% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Corinthians vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Serie A brings Corinthians against Internacional at Neo Química Arena. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Corinthians, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fluminense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Internacional, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Paulo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Internacional, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.2 xG, Internacional 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 42%, draw 27%, Internacional 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Internacional to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians42%fair 2.38 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.25
Internacional31%fair 3.25 · @3.55
2.22Expected goals
1.22Corinthians xG
1.00Internacional xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.2 – 1.0 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Corinthians
Internacional
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.00
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✗
42%
2.38
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Corinthians (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Internacional +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Corinthians – last 6
LDDDLL
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Santos
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Internacional – last 6
DWLLDW
1 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Internacional.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Internacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corinthians vs Internacional?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Internacional 31%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Internacional?
Corinthians vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
