Vasco DA Gama 54%Draw 26%Botafogo 20%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick
Vasco DA Gama or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗54% · @1.93
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo in the Serie A, played at Estádio São Januário. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Botafogo, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Mirassol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Botafogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.9 xG, Botafogo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 54%, draw 26%, Botafogo 20%.
Lower-risk option: Vasco DA Gama or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vasco DA Gama or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama54%fair 1.85 · @1.93
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
Botafogo20%fair 4.96 · @3.85
2.90Expected goals
1.86Vasco DA Gama xG
1.04Botafogo xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.9 – 1.0 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Attack vs Serie A average
+8%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.76
0.93
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win✗
54%
1.85
1.93
Double chance
Vasco DA Gama or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Vasco DA Gama (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Vasco DA Gama to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Vasco DA Gama ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
DWDWLL
2 Apr
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Fluminense
3–2
W
16 Mar
@ Cruzeiro
3–3
D
12 Mar
vs Palmeiras
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Santos
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Fluminense
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 6
WLLLLD
1 Apr
vs Mirassol
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Botafogo.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Botafogo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
