Coritiba vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coritiba welcome Fluminense to Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 5 April (00:30 WAT). In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Fluminense are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Coritiba, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vasco DA Gama, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Fluminense, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Corinthians, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.1 xG, Fluminense 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 30%, draw 26%, Fluminense 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coritiba30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Fluminense44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
2.66Expected goals
1.14Coritiba xG
1.52Fluminense xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.1 – 1.5 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Coritiba
Fluminense
Attack vs Serie A average
-20%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.65
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Coritiba +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Fluminense to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Coritiba – last 4
DWWL
2 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Corinthians
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
WLWWLW
2 Apr
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Coritiba vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fluminense 44%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Coritiba vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
