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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Internacional v Mirassol: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Beira-Rio
1–2
FT
Internacional 51%Draw 26%Mirassol 23% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultInternacional to win ✗51% · @1.76
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38

Internacional vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Internacional welcome Mirassol to Estádio Beira-Rio for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 19 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Internacional, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gremio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mirassol, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to LDU de Quito, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Internacional, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mirassol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.4 xG, Mirassol 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 51%, draw 26%, Mirassol 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Internacional or draw (77%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional51%fair 1.96 · @1.76
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.50
Mirassol23%fair 4.29 · @4.65
2.30Expected goals
1.38Internacional xG
0.92Mirassol xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Internacional 1.4 – 0.9 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

InternacionalMirassol
Attack vs Serie A average-15%-9%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-2%
Our expected goals here1.280.99

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional to win ✗51%1.961.76
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✗77%1.301.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Draw no betInternacional (draw no bet) ✗69%1.46–
Asian handicapMirassol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreInternacional to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional / FT Internacional ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.38–

Recent results

Internacional – last 6

DWDWLL
12 Aprvs Gremio0–0D
5 Apr@ Corinthians1–0W
1 Aprvs Sao Paulo1–1D
19 Mar@ Santos2–1W
15 Marvs Bahia0–1L
11 Mar@ Atletico-MG0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mirassol – last 6

LWLLLD
15 Apr@ LDU de Quito0–2L
8 Aprvs Lanus1–0W
6 Aprvs RB Bragantino0–1L
1 Apr@ Botafogo2–3L
19 Marvs Coritiba0–1L
11 Marvs Santos2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Mirassol.

Internacional vs Mirassol head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional vs Mirassol?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Internacional vs Mirassol?

On our numbers Internacional have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mirassol 23%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Mirassol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Mirassol?

Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Internacional vs Mirassol?

Internacional vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.