Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitoria to win ✗36% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.80
Vitoria vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Serie A brings Vitoria against Corinthians at Estádio Manoel Barradas. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Piauí, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Corinthians, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.1 xG, Corinthians 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 36%, draw 29%, Corinthians 35%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria36%fair 2.79 · @2.65
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.98
Corinthians35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.17Expected goals
1.08Vitoria xG
1.09Corinthians xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.1 – 1.1 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vitoria
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
-32%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.13
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win✗
36%
2.79
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Vitoria (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
20%
5.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.80
–
Recent results
Vitoria – last 6
WWDLLL
16 Apr
vs Piauí
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Juazeirense
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
WWLLDD
16 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Platense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Internacional
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vitoria vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Corinthians 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Vitoria vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
