Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Chapecoense-sc v Bahia in the Serie A, played at Arena Condá. In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Bahia are 6th (upper half) with 53. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Coritiba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bahia, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vasco DA Gama, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bahia, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Chapecoense-sc.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 1.1 xG, Bahia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 27%, draw 22%, Bahia 51%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Bahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc27%fair 3.65 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Bahia51%fair 1.96 · @2.08
2.71Expected goals
1.10Chapecoense-sc xG
1.62Bahia xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.1 – 1.6 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bahia 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?
Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
