Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Vitoria vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Vitoria v Botafogo in the Serie A, played at Estádio Manoel Barradas. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Flamengo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Botafogo, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Cienciano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Botafogo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Botafogo 0–0 Vitoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.4 xG, Botafogo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 38%, draw 23%, Botafogo 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Botafogo to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria38%fair 2.61 · @2.26
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Botafogo39%fair 2.58 · @3.10
2.74Expected goals
1.36Vitoria xG
1.37Botafogo xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.4 – 1.4 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vitoria vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botafogo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Vitoria vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
