Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRB Bragantino to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
RB Bragantino vs Gremio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Bragantino welcome Gremio to Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 23 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Gremio are 18th (in the drop zone) with 37.
Current form
RB Bragantino, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atletico-MG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gremio, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atletico-MG, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Gremio 1–1 RB Bragantino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.7 xG, Gremio 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 64%, draw 22%, Gremio 14%.
Lower-risk option: RB Bragantino or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: RB Bragantino to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RB Bragantino or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Bragantino64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Gremio14%fair 6.98 · @4.40
2.36Expected goals
1.71RB Bragantino xG
0.65Gremio xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.7 – 0.6 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Our pick is RB Bragantino or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gremio 14%.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
RB Bragantino vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
