Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Coritiba vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coritiba welcome Corinthians to Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 23 August (23:30 WAT). In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Coritiba, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Paulo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Corinthians, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rosario Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Corinthians, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Coritiba.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Corinthians 0–2 Coritiba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.0 xG, Corinthians 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 30%, draw 25%, Corinthians 45%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Corinthians to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coritiba30%fair 3.29 · @3.15
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.98
Corinthians45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
2.25Expected goals
0.98Coritiba xG
1.27Corinthians xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.0 – 1.3 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Coritiba vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Corinthians 45%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Corinthians?
Coritiba vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
