Palmeiras 65%Draw 23%Vasco DA Gama 12%Expected goals 1.88 – 0.70
65%
Betarazi pick
Palmeiras to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A, played at Nubank Parque. In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd, among the top four, on 73 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro Porteno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Olimpia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.9 xG, Vasco DA Gama 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 65%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 12%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras65%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
Vasco DA Gama12%fair 8.31 · @5.00
2.58Expected goals
1.88Palmeiras xG
0.70Vasco DA Gama xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.9 – 0.7 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 12%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
