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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chapecoense-sc v Sao Paulo: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Arena Condá

Chapecoense-sc

DLLDD
1–0
FT

Sao Paulo

WDDLD
Chapecoense-sc 28%Draw 23%Sao Paulo 49% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.62
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultSao Paulo to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sao Paulo travel to face Chapecoense-sc on Sunday 23 August in the Serie A, with Arena Condá the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Sao Paulo are 10th (upper half) with 44. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chapecoense-sc, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Bahia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Sao Paulo, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bolívar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Chapecoense-sc.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Sao Paulo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 1.2 xG, Sao Paulo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 28%, draw 23%, Sao Paulo 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chapecoense-sc28%fair 3.55 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Sao Paulo49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
2.77Expected goals
1.15Chapecoense-sc xG
1.62Sao Paulo xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.2 – 1.6 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSao Paulo to win ✗49%2.042.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.83
Draw no betSao Paulo (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapChapecoense-sc +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreSao Paulo to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Chapecoense-sc – last 6

DLLDDL
16 Augvs Bahia3–3D
9 Aug@ Coritiba1–2L
5 Aug@ Cruzeiro0–2L
2 Augvs Cruzeiro0–0D
25 Jul@ Santos2–2D
23 Julvs Flamengo0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sao Paulo – last 6

WDDLDL
19 Augvs Bolívar3–1W
16 Augvs Coritiba1–1D
12 Aug@ Bolívar1–1D
8 Aug@ Gremio1–2L
26 Jul@ Flamengo1–1D
23 Julvs Atletico Paranaense1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Sao Paulo v Chapecoense-sc2–0
Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub
FT Cruzeiro2 Flamengo1 133%3.00X22%3.35245%2.28 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT RB Bragantino1 Gremio0 164%1.73X22%3.50214%4.40 1.7–0.6xG 1XRB Bragantino or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Palmeiras4 Vasco DA Gama1 165%1.57X23%3.80212%5.00 1.9–0.7xG 1Palmeiras to win 65%@1.57 ✓
FT Vitoria0 Bahia2 136%2.50X23%3.10241%2.62 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.70 ✗
FT Santos1 Mirassol1 157%1.85X21%3.30222%3.90 1.8–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.75 ✓
FT Coritiba2 Corinthians1 130%3.15X25%2.98245%2.40 1.0–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?

On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sao Paulo 49%.

How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?

Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo?

Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.