Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Serie A brings Cruzeiro against Flamengo at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Flamengo are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Flamengo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruzeiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Flamengo 2–1 Cruzeiro. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cruzeiro 0 wins, Flamengo 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.2 xG, Flamengo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 33%, draw 22%, Flamengo 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Flamengo45%fair 2.23 · @2.28
2.69Expected goals
1.22Cruzeiro xG
1.48Flamengo xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.2 – 1.5 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flamengo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
