Almirante Brown v Acassuso Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✗64% · @1.73

Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw ✗87% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.43

Almirante Brown vs Acassuso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Acassuso travel to face Almirante Brown on Sunday 27 September in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Acassuso are 17th (in the drop zone) with 35. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chaco For Ever, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Acassuso, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Mitre, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Almirante Brown, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Acassuso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.4 xG, Acassuso 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 64%, draw 24%, Acassuso 13%.
Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Almirante Brown to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 1–0 Acassuso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown64%fair 1.57 · @1.73

Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20

Acassuso13%fair 7.95 · @5.50

1.84Expected goals

1.41Almirante Brown xG

0.42Acassuso xG

44%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%

2–016%

0–016%

1–19%

3–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.4 – 0.4 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almirante Brown to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Almirante Brown or draw ✗	87%	1.14	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.44
Draw no bet	Almirante Brown (draw no bet) ✗	84%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Almirante Brown -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	1.04
First team to score	Almirante Brown to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Almirante Brown / FT Almirante Brown ✗	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	23%	4.43	–

Almirante Brown – last 6

LDDWWL

20 Sep	@ Chaco For Ever	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs Ferro Carril Oeste	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Central Norte	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Deportivo Madryn	1–0	W
22 Aug	@ Defensores De Belgrano	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Tristan Suarez	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Acassuso – last 6

WLLDLL

19 Sep	vs Atletico Mitre	2–0	W
13 Sep	@ CA Estudiantes	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs All Boys	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Los Andes	0–0	D
26 Aug	vs San Telmo	1–2	L
21 Aug	vs Godoy Cruz	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Acassuso 13%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?

Almirante Brown vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Almirante Brown v Acassuso: numbers & prediction