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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Mitre v San Telmo: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Aurinegro
0–2
FT
Atletico Mitre 63%Draw 24%San Telmo 14% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.52
63%
Betarazi pick

Atletico Mitre to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Mitre to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Atletico Mitre v San Telmo in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Aurinegro. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; San Telmo are 12th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atletico Mitre, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Acassuso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

San Telmo, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CA Estudiantes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours San Telmo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Atletico Mitre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 1.5 xG, San Telmo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 63%, draw 24%, San Telmo 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico Mitre or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Mitre to win (63%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 1–0 San Telmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Mitre63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.00
San Telmo14%fair 7.37 · @4.80
2.02Expected goals
1.50Atletico Mitre xG
0.52San Telmo xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.5 – 0.5 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Mitre to win ✗63%1.591.83 ▲
Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw ✗86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.60
Draw no betAtletico Mitre (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapAtletico Mitre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreAtletico Mitre to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.01–

Recent results

Atletico Mitre – last 6

LDDDLD
19 Sep@ Acassuso0–2L
13 Sepvs Chaco For Ever0–0D
5 Sep@ Ferro Carril Oeste0–0D
30 Augvs Central Norte2–2D
21 Aug@ Deportivo Madryn0–4L
15 Augvs Club Atlético Güemes1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Telmo – last 6

LWDLWD
19 Sepvs CA Estudiantes0–1L
12 Sep@ All Boys1–0W
5 Sepvs Los Andes0–0D
30 Aug@ Godoy Cruz0–3L
26 Aug@ Acassuso2–1W
21 Augvs Deportivo Moron2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and San Telmo.

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?

Our pick is Atletico Mitre to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?

On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Telmo 14%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?

Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo?

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.