Atlanta v Agropecuario Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta to win ✓61% · @1.95

Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✓83% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Atlanta vs Agropecuario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlanta welcome Agropecuario for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 27 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Agropecuario are 12th (lower half) with 46. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tristan Suarez, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Agropecuario, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia Y Tiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.5 xG, Agropecuario 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 61%, draw 22%, Agropecuario 17%.
Lower-risk option: Atlanta or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Atlanta to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atlanta or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–0 Agropecuario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta61%fair 1.65 · @1.95

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @2.90

Agropecuario17%fair 5.91 · @4.20

2.03Expected goals

1.45Atlanta xG

0.58Agropecuario xG

50%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–014%

0–013%

1–111%

2–18%

0–18%

From our goals model: Atlanta 1.5 – 0.6 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlanta to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Atlanta or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	50%	2.00	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	Atlanta (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Agropecuario +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Atlanta to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta ✓	35%	2.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.49	–

Atlanta – last 6

DWWLLW

21 Sep	@ Tristan Suarez	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Club Atlético Güemes	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
30 Aug	vs San Martin S.J.	0–1	L
26 Aug	@ Patronato	0–2	L
22 Aug	@ Nueva Chicago	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Agropecuario – last 6

WLWDLW

20 Sep	vs Gimnasia Y Tiro	1–0	W
13 Sep	@ San Martin Tucuman	0–3	L
6 Sep	vs Atletico DE Rafaela	2–0	W
1 Sep	@ Gimnasia Jujuy	1–1	D
22 Aug	@ Tristan Suarez	0–2	L
15 Aug	vs Ciudad de Bolívar	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	36	12	11	13	-6	47
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	+3	45
14	Chacarita Juniors	36	12	6	18	-6	42
15	Almagro	36	11	9	16	-11	42
16	Patronato	36	7	17	12	-6	38
17	Nueva Chicago	36	9	10	17	-11	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	-34	27

Team

Pts

+18

+12

+14

-6

-8

-6

-11

-6

-11

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

Our pick is Atlanta or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

On our numbers Atlanta have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Agropecuario 17%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

Atlanta vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlanta v Agropecuario: numbers & prediction