Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Primera Nacional brings Los Andes against Deportivo Moron at Estadio Eduardo Gallardo. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Los Andes are 10th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Moron are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Los Andes, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Colon Santa Fe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Deportivo Moron, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Godoy Cruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Moron, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Los Andes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Los Andes 1.0 xG, Deportivo Moron 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Los Andes 35%, draw 27%, Deportivo Moron 38%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Moron to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Los Andes 0–1 Deportivo Moron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Los Andes35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.60
Deportivo Moron38%fair 2.63 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
0.96Los Andes xG
1.02Deportivo Moron xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Los Andes 1.0 – 1.0 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✗
38%
2.63
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.53
Draw no bet
Deportivo Moron (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Los Andes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Deportivo Moron to score first✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Los Andes – last 6
LDDDDL
20 Sep
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs San Miguel
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ San Telmo
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Acassuso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Chaco For Ever
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Moron – last 6
LWWWDD
20 Sep
vs Godoy Cruz
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Colon Santa Fe
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs San Miguel
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ San Telmo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Andes and Deportivo Moron.
What is the prediction for Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers Los Andes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Moron 38%.
How many goals will there be in Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is Los Andes 0–1 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron?
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eduardo Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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