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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de Colegiales
2–1
FT
Colegiales 58%Draw 27%Chacarita Juniors 15% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.55
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultColegiales to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Colegiales. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42.

Current form

Colegiales, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Martin S.J., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Chacarita Juniors, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Quilmes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Colegiales, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chacarita Juniors.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.4 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 58%, draw 27%, Chacarita Juniors 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Colegiales or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Colegiales to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colegiales58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Chacarita Juniors15%fair 6.75 · @4.75
1.94Expected goals
1.40Colegiales xG
0.55Chacarita Juniors xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Colegiales 1.4 – 0.5 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColegiales to win ✓58%1.721.90 ▲
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.811.50
Draw no betColegiales (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapChacarita Juniors +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.731.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.461.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.061.03
First team to scoreColegiales to score first62%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colegiales / FT Colegiales ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.00–

Recent results

Colegiales – last 6

LWLWWD
20 Sep@ San Martin S.J.0–2L
12 Sepvs Nueva Chicago1–0W
6 Sep@ Temperley1–3L
3 Sepvs Midland3–0W
29 Augvs Deportivo Maipu1–0W
22 Aug@ Almagro0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chacarita Juniors – last 6

WLLLLD
20 Sepvs Quilmes3–0W
13 Sep@ Midland0–1L
5 Sepvs Atlanta0–1L
29 Aug@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1L
23 Augvs San Martin Tucuman1–2L
19 Augvs Club Atlético Güemes0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors.

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?

On our numbers Colegiales have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chacarita Juniors 15%.

How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?

Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?

Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.