Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio de Colegiales. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Colegiales, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Martin S.J., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Quilmes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Colegiales, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chacarita Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.4 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 58%, draw 27%, Chacarita Juniors 15%.
Lower-risk option: Colegiales or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Colegiales to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Chacarita Juniors15%fair 6.75 · @4.75
1.94Expected goals
1.40Colegiales xG
0.55Chacarita Juniors xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.4 – 0.5 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Colegiales or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.50
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Chacarita Juniors +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
1.03
First team to score
Colegiales to score first
62%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.00
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 6
LWLWWD
20 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Temperley
1–3
L
3 Sep
vs Midland
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
WLLLLD
20 Sep
vs Quilmes
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Midland
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Club Atlético Güemes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chacarita Juniors 15%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.