Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 59% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEngland to win ✗53% · @1.50
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓78% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
England vs Uruguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
England welcome Uruguay to Wembley Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Friday 27 March (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give England 1.7 xG, Uruguay 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – England 53%, draw 24%, Uruguay 22%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 1–1 Uruguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
England53%fair 1.87 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
Uruguay22%fair 4.45 · @7.00
2.93Expected goals
1.66England xG
1.27Uruguay xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: England 1.7 – 1.3 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
England
Uruguay
Attack vs Friendlies average
-4%
+64%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.66
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✗
53%
1.87
1.50
Double chance
England or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
England (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
England to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
England
No recent results on record.
Uruguay
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Uruguay.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win England vs Uruguay?
On our numbers England have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Uruguay 22%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Uruguay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is England 1–1 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is England vs Uruguay?
England vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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