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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ECUS v EC Lemense: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil

ECUS

DWWLD
Sat 28 Mar 2026

EC Lemense

DLDWW
ECUS 42%Draw 24%EC Lemense 33% Expected goals 0.97 – 0.80
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.45

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: ECUS to win @ 2.95 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultECUS to win42% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.08

ECUS vs EC Lemense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 28 March the Paulista A4 brings ECUS against EC Lemense. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

ECUS, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nacional SP, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

EC Lemense, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jabaquara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ECUS 1.0 xG, EC Lemense 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ECUS 42%, draw 24%, EC Lemense 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: ECUS to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: ECUS 0–0 EC Lemense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ECUS42%fair 2.35 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
EC Lemense33%fair 2.99 · @2.35
1.77Expected goals
0.97ECUS xG
0.80EC Lemense xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: ECUS 1.0 – 0.8 EC Lemense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultECUS to win42%2.352.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.60
Draw no betECUS (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapEC Lemense +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals57%1.741.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals69%1.451.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.191.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals97%1.04–
First team to scoreECUS to score first45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.08–

Recent results

ECUS – last 6

DWWLDL
25 Mar@ Nacional SP0–0D
18 Mar@ Colorado Caieiras2–0W
8 Marvs Jabaquara1–0W
4 Marvs Tanabi0–1L
25 Feb@ São Caetano0–0D
14 Feb@ Penapolense1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

EC Lemense – last 5

DLDWW
25 Marvs Jabaquara0–0D
21 Mar@ Vocem1–2L
18 Marvs Joseense0–0D
4 Marvs Penapolense1–0W
25 Feb@ Nacional SP1–0W
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ECUS and EC Lemense.

ECUS vs EC Lemense head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

– Jabaquara Comercial 129%3.20X24%2.95246%2.25 0.9–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.45
– Tanabi Colorado Caieiras 159%1.91X21%3.30220%3.60 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30
– Barretos Nacional SP 160%1.70X26%3.30215%4.75 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.55
– Inter de Bebedouro Taquaritinga 158%1.70X24%3.25218%5.00 1.5–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.44
FT Grêmio Sãocarlense4 São Caetano1 147%2.45X25%3.00228%2.85 1.6–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓
FT Penapolense6 AEA0 178%1.05X12%11.00210%23.00 2.4–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Vocem0 Joseense1 136%2.95X25%2.88239%2.45 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ECUS vs EC Lemense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win ECUS vs EC Lemense?

On our numbers ECUS have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and EC Lemense 33%.

How many goals will there be in ECUS vs EC Lemense?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ECUS vs EC Lemense?

Our predicted score is ECUS 0–0 EC Lemense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is ECUS vs EC Lemense?

ECUS vs EC Lemense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.