Value bet: Tanabi to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTanabi to win59% · @1.91
Double chanceTanabi or draw80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.61
Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tanabi welcome Colorado Caieiras for a Paulista A4 fixture on Saturday 28 March (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Tanabi, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Taquaritinga, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Colorado Caieiras, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to São Caetano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tanabi, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Colorado Caieiras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tanabi 1.5 xG, Colorado Caieiras 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tanabi 59%, draw 21%, Colorado Caieiras 20%.
Lower-risk option: Tanabi or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tanabi to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tanabi 1–0 Colorado Caieiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tanabi59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Colorado Caieiras20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
2.17Expected goals
1.48Tanabi xG
0.69Colorado Caieiras xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tanabi 1.5 – 0.7 Colorado Caieiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tanabi to win
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tanabi or draw
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.73
Draw no bet
Tanabi (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Colorado Caieiras +1.5 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Tanabi to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tanabi / FT Tanabi
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Tanabi – last 5
LLWWL
25 Mar
@ Taquaritinga
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs São Caetano
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Vocem
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ ECUS
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Grêmio Sãocarlense
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Colorado Caieiras – last 4
LLLL
25 Mar
vs São Caetano
0–4
L
18 Mar
vs ECUS
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Joseense
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Comercial
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tanabi and Colorado Caieiras.
What is the prediction for Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras?
On our numbers Tanabi have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Colorado Caieiras 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras?
Our predicted score is Tanabi 1–0 Colorado Caieiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras?
Tanabi vs Colorado Caieiras (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.