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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penapolense v AEA: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil

Penapolense

DDWDL
6–0
FT

AEA

LLLL
Penapolense 78%Draw 12%AEA 10% Expected goals 2.44 – 0.68
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenapolense to win ✓78% · @1.05
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32

Penapolense vs AEA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Penapolense v AEA in the Paulista A4.

Current form

Penapolense, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barretos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AEA, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Vocem, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Penapolense, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for AEA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penapolense 2.4 xG, AEA 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penapolense 78%, draw 12%, AEA 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penapolense 3–0 AEA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penapolense78%fair 1.28 · @1.05
Draw12%fair 8.32 · @11.00
AEA10%fair 9.95 · @23.00
3.12Expected goals
2.44Penapolense xG
0.68AEA xG
45%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%

From our goals model: Penapolense 2.4 – 0.7 AEA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenapolense to win ✓78%1.281.05
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓90%1.11–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betPenapolense (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapPenapolense -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.26–
First team to scorePenapolense to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultPenapolense ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penapolense / FT Penapolense ✓52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%9.32–

Recent results

Penapolense – last 6

DDWDLD
25 Marvs Barretos1–1D
21 Mar@ Grêmio Sãocarlense0–0D
18 Marvs Jabaquara3–2W
7 Marvs Inter de Bebedouro0–0D
4 Mar@ EC Lemense0–1L
28 Febvs Vocem0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

AEA – last 4

LLLL
26 Marvs Vocem0–4L
19 Marvs Nacional SP2–3L
5 Mar@ Inter de Bebedouro0–4L
25 Feb@ Joseense0–2L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penapolense and AEA.

Penapolense vs AEA head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

– ECUS EC Lemense 142%2.95X24%3.00233%2.35 1.0–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.45
– Jabaquara Comercial 129%3.20X24%2.95246%2.25 0.9–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.45
– Tanabi Colorado Caieiras 159%1.91X21%3.30220%3.60 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30
– Barretos Nacional SP 160%1.70X26%3.30215%4.75 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.55
– Inter de Bebedouro Taquaritinga 158%1.70X24%3.25218%5.00 1.5–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.44
FT Grêmio Sãocarlense4 São Caetano1 147%2.45X25%3.00228%2.85 1.6–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓
FT Vocem0 Joseense1 136%2.95X25%2.88239%2.45 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penapolense vs AEA?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Penapolense vs AEA?

On our numbers Penapolense have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 12% and AEA 10%.

How many goals will there be in Penapolense vs AEA?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penapolense vs AEA?

Our predicted score is Penapolense 3–0 AEA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Penapolense vs AEA?

Penapolense vs AEA (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.