Value bet: Vocem to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJoseense to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.48
Vocem vs Joseense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Joseense travel to face Vocem on Saturday 28 March in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT.
Current form
Vocem, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over AEA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Joseense, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grêmio Sãocarlense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vocem 0.9 xG, Joseense 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vocem 36%, draw 25%, Joseense 39%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Vocem to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vocem 0–0 Joseense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vocem36%fair 2.78 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Joseense39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
1.80Expected goals
0.87Vocem xG
0.93Joseense xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Vocem 0.9 – 0.9 Joseense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Joseense to win✓
39%
2.54
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.53
Draw no bet
Joseense (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Vocem +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Joseense to score first✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.48
–
Recent results
Vocem – last 6
WWLLDD
26 Mar
@ AEA
4–0
W
21 Mar
vs EC Lemense
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Comercial
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Tanabi
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Jabaquara
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Penapolense
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Joseense – last 4
LDWW
25 Mar
vs Grêmio Sãocarlense
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ EC Lemense
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Colorado Caieiras
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs AEA
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vocem and Joseense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Vocem vs Joseense?
On our numbers Vocem have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Joseense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vocem vs Joseense?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vocem vs Joseense?
Our predicted score is Vocem 0–0 Joseense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Vocem vs Joseense?
Vocem vs Joseense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.