Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grêmio Sãocarlense v São Caetano: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil

Grêmio Sãocarlense

WDLW
4–1
FT

São Caetano

WWWD
Grêmio Sãocarlense 47%Draw 25%São Caetano 28% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.89
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGrêmio Sãocarlense to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

São Caetano travel to face Grêmio Sãocarlense on Saturday 28 March in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Grêmio Sãocarlense, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Joseense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

São Caetano, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Colorado Caieiras, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours São Caetano, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Grêmio Sãocarlense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.6 xG, São Caetano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grêmio Sãocarlense 47%, draw 25%, São Caetano 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Grêmio Sãocarlense to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–1 São Caetano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grêmio Sãocarlense47%fair 2.13 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.00
São Caetano28%fair 3.53 · @2.85
2.46Expected goals
1.57Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
0.89São Caetano xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.6 – 0.9 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrêmio Sãocarlense to win ✓47%2.132.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betGrêmio Sãocarlense (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapSão Caetano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.12–
First team to scoreGrêmio Sãocarlense to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grêmio Sãocarlense / FT Grêmio Sãocarlense ✗32%3.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Grêmio Sãocarlense – last 4

WDLW
25 Mar@ Joseense1–0W
21 Marvs Penapolense0–0D
18 Mar@ Taquaritinga0–1L
25 Febvs Tanabi2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

São Caetano – last 4

WWWD
25 Mar@ Colorado Caieiras4–0W
18 Mar@ Tanabi2–1W
4 Marvs Comercial2–1W
25 Febvs ECUS0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grêmio Sãocarlense and São Caetano.

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

– ECUS EC Lemense 142%2.95X24%3.00233%2.35 1.0–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.45
– Jabaquara Comercial 129%3.20X24%2.95246%2.25 0.9–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.45
– Tanabi Colorado Caieiras 159%1.91X21%3.30220%3.60 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30
– Barretos Nacional SP 160%1.70X26%3.30215%4.75 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.55
– Inter de Bebedouro Taquaritinga 158%1.70X24%3.25218%5.00 1.5–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.44
FT Penapolense6 AEA0 178%1.05X12%11.00210%23.00 2.4–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Vocem0 Joseense1 136%2.95X25%2.88239%2.45 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

On our numbers Grêmio Sãocarlense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and São Caetano 28%.

How many goals will there be in Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Our predicted score is Grêmio Sãocarlense 1–1 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.