Netherlands vs Norway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 27 March: Netherlands v Norway in the Friendlies, played at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Netherlands 1.7 xG, Norway 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Netherlands 53%, draw 24%, Norway 22%.
Lower-risk option: Netherlands or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Netherlands or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Netherlands 1–1 Norway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Netherlands53%fair 1.87 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.95
Norway22%fair 4.51 · @4.50
2.78Expected goals
1.67Netherlands xG
1.11Norway xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Netherlands 1.7 – 1.1 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Netherlands
Norway
Attack vs Friendlies average
-6%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.15
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Netherlands to win✓
53%
1.87
1.69
Double chance
Netherlands or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
Netherlands (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Norway +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Netherlands to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Netherlands / FT Netherlands✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Netherlands
No recent results on record.
Norway
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Norway.
Our pick is Netherlands or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Netherlands vs Norway?
On our numbers Netherlands have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norway 22%.
How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Norway?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Norway?
Our predicted score is Netherlands 1–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Netherlands vs Norway?
Netherlands vs Norway (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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