America Mineiro 26%Draw 28%Avai 46%Expected goals 1.03 – 1.16
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.27
8/10Rating
1.27Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win46% · @1.82
Double chanceAvai or draw74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.92
America Mineiro vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro welcome Avai to Arena Independência for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 14 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ceara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Avai, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São Bernardo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Avai 2–1 America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.0 xG, Avai 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 26%, draw 28%, Avai 46%.
Lower-risk option: Avai or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–1 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro26%fair 3.88 · @3.84
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.62
Avai46%fair 2.16 · @1.82
2.19Expected goals
1.03America Mineiro xG
1.16Avai xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.0 – 1.2 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America Mineiro
Avai
Attack vs Serie B average
-28%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.02
0.78
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Avai?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Avai?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Avai 46%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Avai?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Avai?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Avai?
America Mineiro vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
