Sport Recife 31%Draw 24%Goias 45%Expected goals 1.25 – 1.25
71%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.37
7/10Rating
1.37Odds
1
Value bet: Sport Recife to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win45% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.48
Sport Recife vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife welcome Goias to Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 14 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Operario-PR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Goias, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Goias, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Sport Recife.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Goias 1–1 Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.3 xG, Goias 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 31%, draw 24%, Goias 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Sport Recife to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife31%fair 3.21 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.62
Goias45%fair 2.23 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
1.25Sport Recife xG
1.25Goias xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.3 – 1.3 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Recife
Goias
Attack vs Serie B average
+15%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.97
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Goias?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Goias 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Goias?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Goias?
Sport Recife vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
