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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ponte Preta v Operario-PR: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Moisés Lucarelli

Ponte Preta

LLDDL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Operario-PR

WLWLL
Ponte Preta 19%Draw 22%Operario-PR 60% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.87
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.21

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultOperario-PR to win60% · @1.59
Double chanceOperario-PR or draw81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.14

Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the Serie B brings Ponte Preta against Operario-PR at Moisés Lucarelli. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Operario-PR are 10th (upper half) with 54. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ponte Preta, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Goias, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Operario-PR, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sport Recife, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Operario-PR, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Operario-PR 3–2 Ponte Preta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.9 xG, Operario-PR 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 19%, draw 22%, Operario-PR 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Operario-PR or draw (81%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–2 Operario-PR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ponte Preta19%fair 5.34 · @4.95
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.92
Operario-PR60%fair 1.68 · @1.59
2.77Expected goals
0.90Ponte Preta xG
1.87Operario-PR xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%

From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.9 – 1.9 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ponte PretaOperario-PR
Attack vs Serie B average-43%+13%
Goals conceded vs average+66%+14%
Our expected goals here0.891.92

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOperario-PR to win60%1.681.59
Double chanceOperario-PR or draw81%1.231.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.77
Draw no betOperario-PR (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapOperario-PR -0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.901.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.461.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.10
First team to scoreOperario-PR to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultOperario-PR ahead at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.14–

Recent results

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLDDLL
8 Nov@ Goias0–1L
30 Oct@ Criciuma0–2L
24 Octvs Fortaleza EC2–2D
16 Octvs Atletico Goianiense1–1D
12 Oct@ Novorizontino1–5L
7 Octvs Juventude0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Operario-PR – last 6

WLWLLL
6 Novvs Sport Recife3–2W
1 Nov@ Novorizontino1–2L
23 Octvs Athletic Club1–0W
17 Oct@ America Mineiro0–1L
11 Octvs Goias0–2L
7 Octvs Botafogo SP1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Operario-PR v Ponte Preta3–2
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
America Mineiro Avai 126%3.84X28%3.62246%1.82 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.27
Atletico Goianiense Cuiaba 160%1.33X25%4.45215%9.10 1.5–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25
CRB Ceara 164%1.36X20%4.60216%7.50 1.9–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.41
Criciuma Novorizontino 132%2.75X29%3.00239%2.60 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25
Fortaleza EC Vila Nova 139%2.45X27%3.25233%2.70 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44
Juventude Botafogo SP 163%1.32X24%4.55214%9.20 1.6–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.26
São Bernardo Athletic Club 153%1.88X25%3.44222%3.80 1.7–1.0xG 1XSão Bernardo or draw 78%@1.22
Sport Recife Goias 131%3.50X24%3.62245%1.91 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.37

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Operario-PR 60%.

How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–2 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR?

Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.