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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

São Bernardo v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Sat 14 Nov 2026
São Bernardo 53%Draw 25%Athletic Club 22% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick

São Bernardo or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSão Bernardo to win53% · @1.88
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.37

São Bernardo vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Athletic Club travel to face São Bernardo on Saturday 14 November in the Serie B, with Estadio Primeiro de Maio the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

São Bernardo, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Avai, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Athletic Club, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Athletic Club 2–1 São Bernardo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.7 xG, Athletic Club 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 53%, draw 25%, Athletic Club 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: São Bernardo or draw (78%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is São Bernardo or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

São Bernardo53%fair 1.88 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.44
Athletic Club22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
2.67Expected goals
1.66São Bernardo xG
1.00Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.7 – 1.0 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

São BernardoAthletic Club
Attack vs Serie B average+20%+6%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+9%
Our expected goals here1.801.11

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSão Bernardo to win53%1.881.88
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.831.79
Draw no betSão Bernardo (draw no bet)71%1.42–
Asian handicapAthletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.961.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.161.06
First team to scoreSão Bernardo to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.37–

Recent results

São Bernardo – last 6

LWWLDL
7 Nov@ Avai1–2L
1 Nov@ Cuiaba2–1W
24 Octvs Vila Nova3–2W
18 Octvs Criciuma0–1L
11 Oct@ Juventude2–2D
6 Oct@ Sport Recife1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

LWLDDL
8 Novvs Atletico Goianiense2–3L
2 Novvs Ceara2–1W
23 Oct@ Operario-PR0–1L
18 Oct@ Avai0–0D
13 Octvs Londrina2–2D
7 Oct@ Goias1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Athletic Club v São Bernardo2–1
São Bernardo vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is São Bernardo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers São Bernardo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athletic Club 22%.

How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is São Bernardo vs Athletic Club?

São Bernardo vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.