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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventude v Botafogo SP: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Juventude 63%Draw 24%Botafogo SP 14% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.70
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.26

8/10Rating
1.26Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.33 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultJuventude to win63% · @1.32
Double chanceJuventude or draw86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.33
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.08

Juventude vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the Serie B brings Juventude against Botafogo SP at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juventude, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cuiaba, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Botafogo SP, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Londrina, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Botafogo SP, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Juventude.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.6 xG, Botafogo SP 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 63%, draw 24%, Botafogo SP 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.33.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.33 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventude63%fair 1.59 · @1.32
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.55
Botafogo SP14%fair 7.38 · @9.20
2.32Expected goals
1.63Juventude xG
0.70Botafogo SP xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Juventude 1.6 – 0.7 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuventudeBotafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average+23%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-28%-13%
Our expected goals here1.480.76

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventude to win63%1.591.32
Double chanceJuventude or draw86%1.161.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.33 ▲
Draw no betJuventude (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapBotafogo SP +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.131.06
First team to scoreJuventude to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventude / FT Juventude37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.08–

Recent results

Juventude – last 6

WDWDDW
7 Nov@ Cuiaba2–1W
31 Oct@ Vila Nova2–2D
27 Octvs Nautico Recife4–0W
17 Oct@ Ceara2–2D
11 Octvs São Bernardo2–2D
7 Oct@ Ponte Preta2–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Botafogo SP – last 6

WDWWWW
5 Novvs Londrina4–0W
31 Octvs Sport Recife1–1D
24 Oct@ Avai2–0W
18 Oct@ CRB1–0W
13 Octvs Ceara1–0W
7 Oct@ Operario-PR2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Botafogo SP v Juventude4–2
Juventude vs Botafogo SP head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventude vs Botafogo SP?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Juventude vs Botafogo SP?

On our numbers Juventude have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botafogo SP 14%.

How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Botafogo SP?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Botafogo SP?

Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Juventude vs Botafogo SP?

Juventude vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.