Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.47
Criciuma vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novorizontino travel to face Criciuma on Saturday 14 November in the Serie B, with Estadio Heriberto Hülse the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vila Nova, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Novorizontino, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fortaleza EC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Criciuma.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.0 xG, Novorizontino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 32%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 39%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 0–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.00
Novorizontino39%fair 2.56 · @2.60
2.19Expected goals
0.99Criciuma xG
1.21Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.0 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average
-18%
+44%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-26%
Our expected goals here
0.83
1.14
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Novorizontino 39%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 0–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Criciuma vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
