Fortaleza EC 39%Draw 27%Vila Nova 33%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.03
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.72
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Fortaleza EC v Vila Nova in the Serie B. In the table, Fortaleza EC are 5th, upper half, on 62 points after 37 matches; Vila Nova are 3rd (among the top four) with 66.
Current form
Fortaleza EC, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Novorizontino, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vila Nova, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Criciuma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.2 xG, Vila Nova 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 39%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
Vila Nova33%fair 3.01 · @2.70
2.21Expected goals
1.18Fortaleza EC xG
1.03Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.2 – 1.0 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Attack vs Serie B average
-1%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.16
0.97
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vila Nova 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
