Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMorocco to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Morocco vs Ecuador: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the Friendlies brings Morocco against Ecuador at Wanda Metropolitano. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morocco 1.5 xG, Ecuador 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morocco 38%, draw 37%, Ecuador 25%.
Lower-risk option: Morocco or draw (75%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Morocco or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morocco 1–1 Ecuador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morocco38%fair 2.60 · @2.60
Draw37%fair 2.71 · @2.85
Ecuador25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.53Morocco xG
1.06Ecuador xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Morocco 1.5 – 1.1 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Morocco
Ecuador
Attack vs Friendlies average
+8%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.90
1.07
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✗
38%
2.60
2.60
Double chance
Morocco or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Morocco (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Ecuador +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Morocco to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco / FT Morocco✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Morocco
No recent results on record.
Ecuador
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Ecuador.
Our pick is Morocco or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Morocco vs Ecuador?
On our numbers Morocco have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Ecuador 25%.
How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Ecuador?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Ecuador?
Our predicted score is Morocco 1–1 Ecuador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Morocco vs Ecuador?
Morocco vs Ecuador (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Wanda Metropolitano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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