Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗37% · @3.25
Double chanceGreece or draw ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Greece vs Paraguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paraguay travel to face Greece on Friday 27 March in the Friendlies, with Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greece 1.2 xG, Paraguay 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greece 34%, draw 37%, Paraguay 29%.
Lower-risk option: Greece or draw (71%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greece 1–1 Paraguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greece34%fair 2.94 · @2.10
Draw37%fair 2.67 · @3.25
Paraguay29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
2.38Expected goals
1.17Greece xG
1.21Paraguay xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Greece 1.2 – 1.2 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Greece
Paraguay
Attack vs Friendlies average
-11%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-32%
Our expected goals here
1.03
1.28
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
37%
2.67
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Greece or draw✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Greece (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Greece +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Paraguay to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay / FT Paraguay✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.63
–
Recent results
Greece
No recent results on record.
Paraguay
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greece and Paraguay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Greece vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Greece have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Paraguay 29%.
How many goals will there be in Greece vs Paraguay?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greece vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Greece 1–1 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Greece vs Paraguay?
Greece vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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