Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlgeria to win ✓63% · @1.33
Double chanceAlgeria or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Algeria vs Guatemala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Algeria welcome Guatemala to Luigi Ferraris for a Friendlies fixture on Friday 27 March (20:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeria 1.6 xG, Guatemala 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeria 63%, draw 21%, Guatemala 16%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Algeria to win (63%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeria 1–0 Guatemala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeria63%fair 1.58 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.50
Guatemala16%fair 6.33 · @7.00
2.46Expected goals
1.65Algeria xG
0.81Guatemala xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Algeria 1.6 – 0.8 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Algeria
Guatemala
Attack vs Friendlies average
+22%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.17
1.38
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeria to win✓
63%
1.58
1.33
Double chance
Algeria or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.44
Draw no bet
Algeria (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Guatemala +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Algeria to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeria / FT Algeria✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Algeria
No recent results on record.
Guatemala
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Guatemala.
Our pick is Algeria to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Algeria vs Guatemala?
On our numbers Algeria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guatemala 16%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Guatemala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Guatemala?
Our predicted score is Algeria 1–0 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Algeria vs Guatemala?
Algeria vs Guatemala (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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