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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Madureira v Águia de Marabá: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Conselheiro Galvão

Madureira

LWLWW
0–1
FT

Águia de Marabá

WW
Madureira 44%Draw 27%Águia de Marabá 30% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.08
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Águia de Marabá to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMadureira to win ✗44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37

Madureira vs Águia de Marabá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Madureira welcome Águia de Marabá to Estádio Conselheiro Galvão for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 12 March (22:00 WAT).

Current form

Madureira, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–8 defeat to Flamengo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Madureira 1.2 xG, Águia de Marabá 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Madureira 44%, draw 27%, Águia de Marabá 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Águia de Marabá to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madureira 1–1 Águia de Marabá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Madureira44%fair 2.30 · @1.98
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Águia de Marabá30%fair 3.38 · @3.85
2.31Expected goals
1.23Madureira xG
1.08Águia de Marabá xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Madureira 1.2 – 1.1 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMadureira to win ✗44%2.301.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betMadureira (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapÁguia de Marabá +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreMadureira to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Madureira / FT Madureira ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.37–

Recent results

Madureira – last 5

LWLWW
3 Marvs Flamengo0–8L
25 Febvs ABC1–0W
23 Feb@ Flamengo0–3L
18 Feb@ Baré3–0W
13 Febvs Boavista SC2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Águia de Marabá – last 2

WW
26 Febvs Independência2–0W
15 Febvs Cametá1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Madureira and Águia de Marabá.

Madureira vs Águia de Marabá head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
– Manaus FC0 Londrina0 Pens 4–5 129%5.20X24%3.45248%1.65 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Paysandu3 Portuguesa RJ1 149%1.78X26%3.30226%4.40 1.1–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗
– Vila Nova1 Operario Ferroviario1 Pens 5–4 162%1.33X22%4.20216%9.80 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Maranhão0 Ceara1 131%3.70X27%3.20242%1.98 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Operario-PR2 Capital Brasilia0 154%1.39X24%3.95222%8.40 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
– Sousa0 CRB2 124%3.95X27%3.10249%1.94 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?

On our numbers Madureira have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Águia de Marabá 30%.

How many goals will there be in Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?

Our predicted score is Madureira 1–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Madureira vs Águia de Marabá?

Madureira vs Águia de Marabá (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.