Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOperario-PR to win ✓54% · @1.39
Double chanceOperario-PR or draw ✓78% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Operario-PR v Capital Brasilia in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Germano Krüger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Operario-PR 1.5 xG, Capital Brasilia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Operario-PR 54%, draw 24%, Capital Brasilia 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Operario-PR 1–1 Capital Brasilia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Operario-PR54%fair 1.85 · @1.39
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.95
Capital Brasilia22%fair 4.48 · @8.40
2.60Expected goals
1.49Operario-PR xG
1.11Capital Brasilia xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 1.5 – 1.1 Capital Brasilia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Operario-PR to win✓
54%
1.85
1.39
Double chance
Operario-PR or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Operario-PR (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Capital Brasilia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Operario-PR to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Operario-PR – last 1
W
4 Mar
@ Betim
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Capital Brasilia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Capital Brasilia.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Capital Brasilia 22%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 1–1 Capital Brasilia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia?
Operario-PR vs Capital Brasilia (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Germano Krüger.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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