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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vila Nova v Operario Ferroviario: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Vila Nova

LDW
1–1
–Pens 5–4

Operario Ferroviario

WWD
Vila Nova 62%Draw 22%Operario Ferroviario 16% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.82
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultVila Nova to win ✗62% · @1.33
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21

Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Operario Ferroviario travel to face Vila Nova on Thursday 12 March in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Vila Nova, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Operario Ferroviario, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Bataguassu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Operario Ferroviario, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Vila Nova.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.7 xG, Operario Ferroviario 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 62%, draw 22%, Operario Ferroviario 16%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 1–0 Operario Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vila Nova62%fair 1.62 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.20
Operario Ferroviario16%fair 6.09 · @9.80
2.48Expected goals
1.66Vila Nova xG
0.82Operario Ferroviario xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.7 – 0.8 Operario Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVila Nova to win ✗62%1.621.33
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓84%1.201.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.50
Draw no betVila Nova (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapOperario Ferroviario +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVila Nova to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.21–

Recent results

Vila Nova – last 3

LDW
22 Feb@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
16 Febvs Anápolis2–2D
13 Feb@ Anápolis2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Operario Ferroviario – last 3

WWD
28 Febvs Bataguassu3–2W
26 Feb@ ASA2–1W
22 Feb@ Naviraiense0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Operario Ferroviario.

Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
– Manaus FC0 Londrina0 Pens 4–5 129%5.20X24%3.45248%1.65 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Paysandu3 Portuguesa RJ1 149%1.78X26%3.30226%4.40 1.1–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗
FT Madureira0 Águia de Marabá1 144%1.98X27%3.10230%3.85 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.45 ✗
FT Maranhão0 Ceara1 131%3.70X27%3.20242%1.98 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Operario-PR2 Capital Brasilia0 154%1.39X24%3.95222%8.40 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
– Sousa0 CRB2 124%3.95X27%3.10249%1.94 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?

On our numbers Vila Nova have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Operario Ferroviario 16%.

How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?

Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Operario Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario?

Vila Nova vs Operario Ferroviario (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.