Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCRB to win49% · @1.94
Double chanceCRB or draw76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.74
Sousa vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Sousa v CRB in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Antônio Mariz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sousa 1.3 xG, CRB 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sousa 24%, draw 27%, CRB 49%.
Lower-risk option: CRB or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sousa 1–1 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sousa24%fair 4.12 · @3.95
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
CRB49%fair 2.05 · @1.94
2.90Expected goals
1.26Sousa xG
1.64CRB xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sousa 1.3 – 1.6 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRB to win
49%
2.05
1.94
Double chance
CRB or draw
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
CRB (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Sousa +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
CRB to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Sousa – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Pombal EC
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Campinense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CRB – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Porto BA
6–0
W
19 Feb
vs CSA
2–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sousa and CRB.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sousa vs CRB?
On our numbers Sousa have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CRB 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sousa vs CRB?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sousa vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Sousa 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sousa vs CRB?
Sousa vs CRB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Mariz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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